Table 6 Calculation of inflation factors for Strategy 3
Sl. No. | Parameter | Total |
|---|---|---|
1 | Population, Belgaum district, 2001 | 4,207,264 |
2 | Population, Belgaum district, 2011 | 4,779,661 |
3 | Annual Growth Rate | 0.012756 |
4 | Projected population, Belgaum district, 2014 | 4,966,110 |
5 | The proportion of 0–14 years population, Belgaum district, 2014 | 0.285874 |
6 | Estimated 0–14 year population, Belgaum district, 2014 | 1,419,682 |
7 | Assuming 10% of children as morbid, estimated no. of children experiencing any morbidity in the district in a year | 141,968 |
8 | Assuming 70% of these morbidities/clinic visits are unique children, expected no. of unique morbid children in the district in a year (=(7)*0.7 | 99,378 |
9 | During the study period (127 days), a total no. of children reached at HCFs for any morbidity | 33,342 |
10 | During the study period (127 days), no. of children screened at HCFs (127 days) | 24,342 |
11 | Assuming 70% of these morbidities/clinic visits are unique children, expected no. of unique morbid children in the district in a year (=(10)*0.7 | 17,039 |
12 | No. of children not screened (even if they reached at HCF in 127 days + had the screening been done for the remaining 238 days in a year) (=(8)–(10)) | 82,339 |
13 | No. of children screened positive (sick children) and enrolled in the study | 527 |
14 | No. of unique children screened positive (sick children) and enrolled in the study | 515 |
15 | No. of enrolled sick children tested for HIV in the study | 509 |
16 | No. of unique enrolled sick children tested for HIV in the study | 497 |
17 | No. of tested sick children found positive in the study | 97 |
18 | No. of unique tested sick children found positive in the study | 89 |
19 | No. of unique newly detected unique HIV positive children among (18) | 11 |
20 | Percent of new unique positive children identified among all unique screened positive (sick children) (=(19)/(16)) | 0.022 |
21 | If all children were tested, new positive children that could be identified from the study (=(14)*(20)) | 11.40 |
22 | Estimated unique children who would have been identified as sick among the unscreened (=[(14)/(11)]*(12)) | 2488.7 |
23 | Estimated no. of unique positive children among the unscreened (=(20)*(22)) | 55.1 |
24 | Total new unique positive children that in the district in a year (=(23) + (21)) | 67 |
25 | At 95% Confidence Interval of prevalence to the estimate | 27–103 |