Predictors of treatment failure for non-severe childhood pneumonia in developing countries – systematic literature review and expert survey – the first step towards a community focused mHealth risk-assessment tool?

Table 4 Expert panel quantitative assessments of potential prognostic indicators

Identified prognostic indicator^a	Mortality rate according to location of care received if prognostic indictor positive
Identified prognostic indicator^a	Community treatment with oral amoxicillin	Hospital treatment with parenteral antibiotics
Fever	0.5 % (0.5–1.0)	0.1 % (0.1–0.2)
Rapid breathing	1.0 % (1.0–2.0)	0.2 % (0.1–0.5)
Lower chest indrawing	5.8 % (5.1–7.4)	1.0 % (0.6–1.0)
Abnormal SpO₂	15.5 % (11.3–23.0)	6.3 % (5.0–7.5)
Moderate malnutrition	20.0 % (18.5–25.0)	10.5 % (5.0–12.8)
HIV-infected or HIV-exposed status	16.5 % (15.0–20.0)	7.5 % (6.1–8.6)

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