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Table 4 Receiver operating characteristics analysis examining the predictive performance of baseline obese status and additional fitness parameters on follow-up obese status

From: Does obesity persist from childhood to adolescence? A 4-year prospective cohort study of chinese students in Hong Kong

Models

Predicted prevalence

Sensitivity

Specificity

PPV

NPV

1: Obese at Baseline

0.05

(0.04–0.05)

0.25

(0.23–0.28)

0.97

(0.96–0.97)

0.33

(0.30–0.36)

0.95

(0.95–0.95)

2a: + Overall Fitness

0.02

(0.02–0.02)

0.10

(0.08–0.11)

0.99

(0.98–0.99)

0.31

(0.26–0.36)

0.94

(0.94–0.95)

2b: + Endurance run

0.02

(0.02–0.02)

0.13

(0.11–0.15)

0.98

(0.98–0.99)

0.35

(0.31–0.40)

0.94

(0.94–0.95)

2c: + Sit-and-reach

0.03

(0.03–0.03)

0.15

(0.13–0.17)

0.98

(0.98–0.98)

0.32

(0.28–0.36)

0.95

(0.94–0.95)

2d: + Sit-up

0.02

(0.02–0.03)

0.13

(0.11–0.15)

0.98

(0.98–0.99)

0.35

(0.30–0.39)

0.94

(0.94–0.95)

2e: + hand grip

0.02

(0.01–0.02)

0.05

(0.03–0.06)

0.99

(0.98–0.99)

0.18

(0.14–0.23)

0.94

(0.94–0.94)

  1. PPV positive predictive value; NPV negative predictive value
  2. Note that Model 1 has only one predictor, Obese at Baseline, whereas Models 2a to 2e also include an additional fitness predictor