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Table 2 Hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals of potential risk factors in whole population

From: Incidence of obesity and its predictors in children and adolescents in 10 years of follow up: Tehran lipid and glucose study (TLGS)

Variables

Cumulative Incidence of Obesity (95% CI)

Incidence rate (in 1000 person year)

Un-adjusted HR (95% CI)

Adjusted HRa (95% CI)

Total

17.0 (14.1–20.4)

11.8 (9.7–14.4)

 

Gender

 Boys

19.6 (15.4–24.8)

14.3 (10.9–18.7)

1

1

 Girls

14.5 (10.9–19.1)

9.7 (7.2–13.1)

0.70 (0.47–1.05)

0.72 (0.48–1.07)

Weight groups

 Normal weight

7.7 (5.6–10.5)

4.8 (3.5–6.7)

1

1

 Overweight

56.7 (47.6–66.2)

68.8 (53.5–88.4)

13.48 (8.88–20.46)

14.93 (9.82–22.70)

WC ≥ 90th

 No

14.9 (12.1–18.3)

10.1 (8.1–12.6)

1

1

 Yes

43.9 (30.4–60.3)

50.3 (32.7–79.8)

4.49 (2.68–7.50)

5.05 (3.01–8.48)

FPG ≥ 100 (mg/dl)

 No

16.8 (13.8–20.4)

11.7 (9.5–14.5)

1

1

 Yes

18.7 (9.4–35.2)

14.7 (6.5–28.8)

1.13 (0.52–2.44)

1.25 (0.57–2.69)

TG ≥ 110 (mg/dl)

 No

16.6 (13.3–20.6)

11.6 (9.1–14.7)

1

1

 Yes

17.5 (12.2–24.8)

12.1 (8.2–17.9)

1.07 (0.68–1.70)

1.17 (0.74–1.86)

HDL-C < 40 (mg/dl)

 No

16.1 (12.8–20.2)

11.2 (8.7–14.4)

1

1

 Yes

18.9 (13.6–25.9)

13.3 (9.3–19.1)

1.21 (0.78–1.87)

1.20 (0.77–1.86)

Hypertension

 No

14.8 (11.6–18.9)

10.4 (7.9–13.5)

1

1

 Yes

21.8 (16.6–28.3)

15.2 (11.2–20.6)

1.53 (1.02–2.29)

1.35 (0.90–2.03)

MetS

 No

15.5 (12.6–19.0)

10.6 (8.5–13.3)

1

1

 Yes

35.0(22.4–51.8)

31.28 (18.0–52.8)

2.84 (1.61–5.02)

2.77 (1.57–4.89)

Paternal obesity

 Non-obese

14.1 (10.8–18.3)

9.1 (6.9–12.1)

1

1

 Obese

33.9 (23.6–47.1)

26.8 (17.5–41.1)

2.83 (1.70–4.72)

2.69 (1.61–4.50)

Maternal obesity

 

 Non-obese

12.2 (9.2–16.1)

7.7 (5.7–10.4)

1

1

 Obese

28.0 (21.3–36.4)

21.6 (15.7–29.7)

2.69 (1.74–4.16)

3.04 (1.96–4.72)

Paternal educational level

 Diploma or lower than diploma

17.1 (13.6–21.4)

11.9 (9.3–15.3)

1

1

 Higher than diploma

18.4 (11.3–29.1)

12.7 (7.5–21.5)

1.07 (0.60–1.90)

1.11 (0.62–1.99)

Maternal educational level

 Diploma or lower than diploma

17.1 (14.0–20.8)

11.7 (9.4–14.5)

1

1

 Higher than diploma

19.3 (11.2–32.1)

16.3 (9.1–29.5)

1.25 (0.67–2.35)

1.20 (0.64–2.26)

  1. Overweight, 1SD < BMI-for-age ≤ 2SD based on WHO criteria; WC waist circumference; FPG fasting plasma glucose; HDL-C, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol; TG triglycerides; Paternal obesity, Father’s BMI ≥ 30 kg/m2; Maternal obesity, Mother’s BMI ≥ 30 kg/m2; Hypertension, SBP and/or DBP ≥90th percentile for gender and age; MetS, Metabolic syndrome for children based on the definition of Cook et al. work
  2. aAdjusted for age at baseline