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Table 4 Verification: List of children whose defects didn’t spontaneously close

From: Prediction of spontaneous closure of isolated ventricular septal defects in utero and postnatal life

ID Predicted probability Actual outcome Birth weight(kg) Defect diameter(mm) Note
01 0.8469 Thoracotomy surgery 2 3.8  
02 0.6264 Mortality 2.5 3.2 Respiratory failure
03 0.3467 Mortality 2.55 2.4 Down’s syndrome
04 0.4700 Defect reduced 3 3  
05 0.5496 Defect persisted 4.5 4  
06 0.7362 Defect persisted 3.15 3.9  
07 0.4056 Defect reduced 3.95 3.3  
08 0.7984 Defect persisted 3.05 4.1  
  1. In the binary logistic regression, spontaneous closure is defined as 0, persisted defect is defined as 1, and predicted probability stands for the possibility of persisted defects
  2. Patients with predicted possibility above 0.5 experienced surgery (No.01), mortality (No.02), or persistent defects (No.05,06.08), while patients with predicted possibility below 0.5 had reduced defects (No.04,07). Patient No.03 has Down’s syndrome