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Table 4 Relative risk of elevated BP in urban black South African children between childhood and late adolescence

From: Blood pressure tracking in urban black South African children: birth to twenty cohort

Mean Age (years)

BP Status

BP status at 18 years

Relative Risk (95 % CI)

Normotensive

Elevated BP

Total

Crude

BMI-adjusted

5

Normotensive

461 (77.3)

135 (22.7)

596 (69.4)***

1 (ref)

1 (ref)

 

Elevated BP

168 (63.9)

95 (36.1)

263 (30.6)

1.60 (1.28–2.00)

1.60 (1.29–2.00)

 

Total

629 (73.2)

230 (26.8)

859 (100.0)

  

8

Normotensive

454 (77.2)

134 (22.8)

588 (66.7)***

1 (ref)

1 (ref)

 

Elevated BP

184 (62.8)

109 (37.2)

293 (33.3)

1.75 (1.43–2.14)

1.69 (1.39–2.06)

 

Total

638 (72.4)

243 (27.6)

881 (100.0)

  

13

Normotensive

719 (78.4)

198 (21.6)

917 (81.5)***

I (ref)

1 (ref)

 

Elevated BP

91 (43.8)

117 (56.3)

208 (18.5)

2.70 (2.28–3.20)

2.56 (2.16–3.04)

 

Total

810 (72.0)

315 (28.0)

1125 (100.0)

  

14

Normotensive

770 (80.1)

191 (19.9)

961 (75.2)***

1 (ref)

1 (ref)

 

Elevated BP

147 (46.5)

169 (53.5)

316 (24.8)

2.84 (2.43–3.32)

2.71 (2.32–3.17)

 

Total

917 (71.8)

360 (28.2)

1277 (100.0)

  

16

Normotensive

830 (80.0)

207 (20.0)

1037 (69.4)***

1 (ref)

1 (ref)

 

Elevated BP

246 (53.7)

212 (46.3)

458 (30.6)

2.34 (2.01–2.72)

2.28 (2.00–2.65)

 

Total

1076 (72.0)

419 (28.0)

1495 (100.0)

  
  1. Chi square test was used to assess the difference in BP status at a given two time points and results presented as proportions: n (%). Some proportions do not add up to 100 % because of rounding off to the nearest percentage and level of significance set at ***P < 0.001