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Table 2 Independent predictors of oral antibiotic failure in chest indrawing WHO non-severe childhood pneumonia

From: Predictors of treatment failure for non-severe childhood pneumonia in developing countries – systematic literature review and expert survey – the first step towards a community focused mHealth risk-assessment tool?

Study overview

Addo-Yobo E, Chisaka N et al.

Hazir T, Fox LM et al.

Addo-Yobo E, Anh DD et al.

Region (countries)

Africa (Ghana, South Africa, Zambia) Asia (India, Pakistan, Vietnam) South America (Columbia, Mexico)

Pakistan (Asia)

Africa (Egypt, Ghana) Asia (Bangladesh, Vietnam)

Data collection dates

1999–2002

2005–2006

2005–2008

Enrollment criteria

3–59 months

3–59 months

3–59 months

Study design

Randomized multicenter equivalency study

Randomized multicenter equivalency study

Multicenter observational study

Intervention arm

Oral amoxicillin 45 mg/kg/day for 5 days

Oral amoxicillin 80–90 mg/kg/day for 5 days

-

Control arm (or standard of care)

Intravenous 200,000 IU penicillin G for 2 days then oral amoxicillin 45 mg/kg/day for 3 days (total 5 days)

Intravenous ampicillin 100 mg/kg/day for 2 days then oral amoxicillin for 3 days (total 5 days)

Amoxicillin 80–90 mg/kg/day for 5 days

Blinding

No

No

-

Study site type(s)

Pediatric department of tertiary care hospitals

Pediatric department of tertiary care hospitals

Pediatric department of tertiary care and second-level hospitals, health centers

Number of study sites

9

7

5

Primary outcome

Equivalence

Equivalence

Treatment failure

Treatment failure definition

Day of assignment

Day 3

Day 6

Day 6

Respiratory ratea

No

No

No

Fever >38 °C and LCI

No

Yes (days 3–6)

Yes (day 3)

Fever >38 °C

No

Yes (day 6)

Yes (day 6)

LCI

Yes (day 3)

Yes (day 6)

Yes (day 6)

Convulsions

Yes (days 1–3)

Yes (days 1–6)

Yes (days 1–6)

Abnormally sleepy

Yes (days 1–3)

Yes (days 1–6)

Yes (days 1–6)

Inability to drink

Yes (days 1–3)

Yes (days 1–6)

Yes (days 1–6)

Stridor in calm child

No

No

No

Malnutrition

No

No

No

Cyanosis

Yes (days 1–3)

Yes (days 1–6)

Yes (days 1–6)

SpO2

<80 % at sea-level or <75 % below sea-level (days 1–3)

No

No

Antibiotic change

Yes (days 1–3)

No

Yes (days 1–6)

Hospitalization

No

Yes, if related to pneumonia (days 1–6)

No

Serious drug reaction

Yes (days 1–3)

No

Yes (days 1–6)

Serious adverse event

No

Yes (days 1–6)

No

New comorbid condition

Yes (days 1–3)

Yes, if required antibiotic (days 1–6)

Yes (days 1–6)

Lost to follow-up

Yes (days 1–3)

Yes (days 1–6)

Yes (day 6)

Study withdrawal

Yes (days 1–3)

Yes (days 1–6)

No

Death

Yes (days 1–3)

Yes (days 1–14)

Yes (days 1–6)

Study participants and description

Sample sizeb

1702

2037

823

Age:

3–11 months

1045/1669 (62.6 %)

1311/2037 (64.4 %)

562/873 (64.4 %)

 

12–59 months

624/1669 (37.4 %)

726/2037 (35.6 %)

310/873 (35.5 %)

Treatment failure ratec

328/1702 (19.3 %)

164/2037 (8.1 %)

76/823 (9.2 %)

Independent predictors of treatment failurec OR/RR (95 % CI)

Age 3–11 months, 2.72 OR (95 % CI 1.95–3.79)

Age 3–5 months, 3.22 OR, (95 % CI 1.87–5.52)

Age 3–5 months, 1.96 RR (95 % CI 1.09–3.51)

Very fast breathing, 1.94 OR (95 % CI 1.42–2.65)d

Very fast breathing, 1.65 OR (95 % CI 1.07–2.57)d

Very fast breathing, 12.5 RR (95 % CI 1.74–89.1)d

SpO2 < 90 %, 2.11 OR (95 % CI 1.6–2.78)

Weight for age z score <−2, 1.79 OR (95 % CI 1.23–2.60)

 
  1. WHO: World Health Organization; IU: International Units; LCI: lower chest wall indrawing; SpO 2 : peripheral oxygen saturation; OR: odds ratio; RR: relative risk; CI, confidence interval
  2. aRespiratory rate norms: <50 breaths/min for ages 2–11 months; <40 breaths/min for ages 12–59 months
  3. bIf primary outcome of trial was equivalency then intervention and control arm data was combined
  4. cMultivariate logistic regression modeling was used by Addo-Yobo E, Chisaka N et al. and Hazir T while log-linear regression modeling was used by Fox LM et al. Addo-Yobo E, Chisaka N et al. modeled age, very fast breathing, hypoxemia, and amoxicillin. Hazir T, Fox LM et al. modeled sex, age, breastfeeding, weight-for-age z score <−2, very fast breathing, and treatment group (home vs hospital). Addo-Yobo E, Anh DD et al. modeled sex, age, and respiratory rate
  5. dVery fast breathing defined as ≥70 breaths/min for ages 3–11 months and ≥60 breaths/min for ages 12–59 months